10/27/15 Blog number 6
Syria Poses challenges for Putin
First and foremost, President Putin and other top Kremlin officials insisted that military victory in Syria was not Russia's real objective. If the Syria intervention provokes rather than prevents home-grown terrorism in Russia, Mr. Putin risks bearing part of the blame. President Putin told us that Russia's aim was to "liberate Syria from terrorists" and stop jihadists from the Islamic State group (IS) from taking over Damascus and then the entire country. Yet President Putin says that success cannot be partial - Syria partitioned and President Assad only in control of a rump state. But for the Russian government it is a useful backdrop for occasions like the annual Valdai meeting where President Vladimir Putin and other top Russian officials can showcase their views in exchanges with foreign scholars. This year the conversation was dominated by Syria and Russia's intentions there. Mr Putin gave another explanation: "One thing I learnt 50 years ago on the streets of Leningrad was that if a fight is inevitable, you need to land the first punch," he said pithily, offering a startlingly personal rationale for his Syria strategy. And that is where the first puzzle in Russia's Syria policy lies. "To liberate Syria we need to unite forces," he said, adding that Syria could become a new model of post Cold War collaboration.